Wind ArcaneTier 2
at 8號卡牌屋店冠賽
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
4-5-2
overall winrate
45.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.9%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
47.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1345
· median 1345
· range 1297–1393
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1265
Q3 1431
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 13.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.2% | -5.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.4% | +3.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.4% | -10.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.4% | +15.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
